Scan
Gather signals from inside and beyond the organisation.
Emerging Risk Sprints
A practical framework for identifying tomorrow's risks today.
The challenge
Weak signals rarely arrive in the language of a conventional risk register.
An Emerging Risk Sprint creates a short, disciplined space to detect signals, explore plausible implications and decide what deserves leadership attention now.
The sprint does not pretend to predict the future. It improves the organisation’s readiness to recognise and respond to change.
The complete insight
Emerging Risk Sprints artwork.
Open the complete AGR model at full resolution or download it for reference and board discussion.
The AGR lens
A practical model for a better board conversation.
Four connected perspectives move discussion from simplified reporting to clearer judgement and proportionate action.
Interpret
Explore patterns, uncertainty and plausible implications.
Challenge
Test assumptions with diverse operational and strategic perspectives.
Act
Set indicators, ownership and proportionate next moves.
In the boardroom
Questions that move the discussion forward.
Which weak signals could challenge our current strategy?
What would we wish we had noticed twelve months earlier?
What should we watch, test or prepare for now?
What changes
Insight becomes decision confidence.
The model is valuable when it improves the quality, pace and usefulness of leadership judgement.
A prioritised signal set
Plausible implications
Early indicators
Board-ready actions
Richard’s perspective
Governance earns its place when it improves the decision rather than simply recording that a process was followed.
AGR’s Insight Series is shaped by years of working alongside boards and executive teams in complex, high-consequence environments. Each model is designed to make difficult conversations clearer and practical action more deliberate.
Richard Mackie
Founder and CEO, AGR